Sunday NFL DFS lineups advice (Jan. 14): Best Wild Card picks, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel 2024 playoff tournaments
NEWS NOW: Sunday, January 14 NFL DFS lineup recommendations of…….
he NFL’s Super Wild Card Weekend contains a surplus of good matchups, strong storylines, and betting opportunities. Sunday’s triple-header easily serves as the main event, with Bills-Steelers and Cowboys-Packers in the afternoon and Lions-Rams as the much-anticipated nightcap. Today we will share our optimal DFS lineups for Sunday’s DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft tournaments, providing advice, strategy, and sleepers along the way so you can come out of the weekend with some daily fantasy cash.
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Sunday’s got it all: the red-hot Bills in a potential blizzard, Dak Prescott and the high-flying Cowboys at home against Jordan Love and the Pack, and Jared Goff vs. Matthew Stafford in Detroit’s first home playoff game in 30 years. What more could we ask for out of a wild-card Sunday? Some DFS winnings, of course!
Just like our approach with finding the best bets for the weekend, we scoured DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft for the best DFS values and assembled what we deem to be optimal lineups. Our strategy is simple: research, compare values, and make roster-building moves that will separate us from the rest of the DFS packs. Our lineups today should all have plenty of lineup variance, as we try to avoid rostering all the most popular draft choices. In a stream full of salmon, we’re the bear.
Let’s get into our lineups and advice for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. Before unveiling each lineup, we will provide a brief overview of each DFS site’s scoring settings. Good luck, have fun, and enjoy Super Wild Card Weekend!
Wild Card Sunday DraftKings Picks: DFS lineup advice, sleepers
Here are the key scoring settings for DraftKings Classic contests: Each lineup has a $50,000 budget to fill out a classic fantasy lineup (QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, FLEX, DST) and must feature players from at least two different teams. DK features full-point PPR and three-point bonuses for 300 passing yards, 100 rushing yards, and 100 receiving yards.
Pos. | Player | Game | Cost |
QB | Jared Goff | Lions vs. Rams | $6,200 |
RB | James Cook | Bills vs. Steelers | $6,600 |
RB | Jaylen Warren | Steelers at Bills | $5,100 |
WR | CeeDee Lamb | Cowboys vs. Packers | $9,000 |
WR | Amon-Ra St. Brown | Lions vs. Rams | $8,000 |
WR | Cooper Kupp | Rams at Lions | $7,500 |
TE | Dawson Knox | Bills vs. Steelers | $2,900 |
FLEX | Demarcus Robinson | Rams at Lions | $3,600 |
DST | Detroit | Lions vs. Rams | $3,100 |
QB Jared Goff, Lions vs. Rams ($6,200)
Goff cost less than four other QBs from the Sunday slate, and we love the value we’re getting here. The Rams surrendered the fifth-most DraftKings (DK) points to the QB position this season and now must face the Lions in what should be a palpable atmosphere at Ford Field, which hasn’t hosted a postseason game since 1994.
We also love that this game is in a dome, unlike many of the other games this weekend facing brutal weather conditions. This game should be a shootout — it opened at a whopping 51.5 point over/under — and we don’t like Detroit’s chances of breaking the Rams’ solid run D. Fire Goff up and upgrade other roster spots with the money you saved by avoiding Josh Allen and Dak Prescott.
RB Jaylen Warren, Steelers at Bills ($5,100); Rico Dowdle, Cowboys vs. Packers ($4,600)
We contemplated grabbing Buffalo’s James Cook ($6,600), a strong RB1 option in an Orchard Park winter-storm game. The Steelers will be overmatched from the kickoff to the final whistle, so we like Cook to get plenty of clock-milking opportunities both on the ground and in the passing game. Pittsburgh has been gashed by the run numerous times this season, allowing 115 rushing yards per game, and Buffalo is a nearly double-digit favorite. However, we ultimately went with a dual-sleeper approach at RB, one that should raise plenty of eyebrows.
Warren should see plenty of touches in the same respect that Cook will, because downfield completions will be at a premium in the blizzard-like conditions. Mason Rudolph is limited as a pocket passer, so he’ll need all the help he can get via dump-offs and screen passes. Dowdle’s an even better dark-horse pick, partly because lead Cowboys back Tony Pollard has been so underwhelming this year and partly because Green Bay’s run defense has been porous for the majority of the season. These high-upside value picks will provide us with lineup variance and also allow us to spend up on studs at the pass-catching positions.
WR CeeDee Lamb, Cowboys vs. Packers ($9,000); Amon-Ra St. Brown, Lions vs. Rams ($8,000); Cooper Kupp, Rams at Lions ($7,500)
Here’s where we make our money! Lamb, St. Brown, and Kupp all see insane volume as the No. 1 option for their pass-heavy teams. We also get all three of our stud receivers inside domed stadiums, a major plus in a volatile weekend of weather across the country. And the Packers, Rams, and Lions have all struggled to contain big-play receivers throughout the vast majority of the 2023 campaign. We can’t wait to see what kind of numbers these guys put up for us this weekend!
TE Dawson Knox, Bills vs. Steelers ($2,900)
When you have a star-studded trio at wideout, you gotta grab sleepers elsewhere. Knox certainly fits the bill, as he’s a veteran with playoff experience and the trust of Josh Allen but he often gets overlooked because of stud rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid. Knox averages 12 yards per catch since returning from injury in Week 14, and he has caught all eight of his targets during that span. Kincaid will probably see more volume — he has caught 11-of-15 targets for 171 yards over the past two weeks — but Knox could easily make a little noise on short and intermediate routes if the winter elements come into play this Sunday.
FLEX Demarcus Robinson, Rams at Lions ($3,600)
Another high-upside sleeper, Robinson somewhat quietly put up 15.6 DK points per game in the Rams’ five contests between Week 13 and 17. While Kupp and stud rookie Puka Nacua are garnering the majority of the attention from the feeble Lions’ secondary, the speedy Robinson could easily break free for a couple big chunk plays or a game-breaking touchdown. We absolutely love the value we’re getting here with the veteran DMC.
DST Detroit Lions vs. Rams ($3,100)
We had exactly $3,100 left in the well, so we used it to grab Aidan Hutchinson and the Lions at home against the Rams. It’s a risky play given how hot the Rams have been in their 7-1 home stretch of the season, but what defense isn’t risky this Sunday? If we had the dough, we’d grab the Bills’ D ($3,500) at home against the Steelers — but we simply can’t swing it. Detroit at least has high-sack upside and there’s an outside shot at a pick in what should be a shootout of a game. You can’t do better than the Lions at this price — the Rams, Packers, and Steelers all have their hands full on the road against the Lions, Cowboys, and Bills.
Wild Card Sunday FanDuel Picks: DFS lineup advice, sleepers
Here are the key scoring settings for FanDuel GPP tournaments: Each lineup has a $60,000 budget to fill out a classic fantasy lineup (QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, FLEX, DST) and must feature players from at least two different teams. DK features half-point PPR and NO bonuses for 300 passing yards, 100 rushing yards, or 100 receiving yards.
Pos. | Player | Game | Cost |
QB | Matthew Stafford | Rams at Lions | $7,400 |
RB | Tony Pollard | Cowboys vs. Packers | $7,800 |
RB | David Montgomery | Lions vs. Rams | $7,600 |
WR | Puka Nacua | Rams at Lions | $8,000 |
WR | Cooper Kupp | Rams at Lions | $7,500 |
WR | Brandin Cooks | Cowboys vs. Packers | $6,500 |
TE | Jake Ferguson | Cowboys vs. Packers | $6,200 |
FLEX | Leonard Fournette | Bills vs. Steelers | $4,800 |
DST | Detroit | Lions vs. Rams | $4,000 |
QB Matthew Stafford, Rams at Lions ($7,400)
Unlike DraftKings, where Goff was the fifth-most expensive option at QB, FanDuel lists Stafford as the fifth-highest salary. We’ll take him, as the Lions have served up the most FD points to signal-callers since the start of the 2023 campaign. Like we have said often throughout this column, this game should be a shootout.
RB Tony Pollard, Cowboys vs. Packers ($7,800); David Montgomery, Lions vs. Rams ($7,600)
We’re employing a completely different strategy with our FanDuel lineup, in part because we don’t want to invest too heavily in the superstar-wideout approach we went with on DraftKings and partly because FD is half-PPR as opposed to DK’s full-PPR. Touchdowns are important in FD — and we like the touchdown upside we get with Pollard and Montgomery, who finished the season with a combined 19 TDs.
WR Puka Nacua, Rams at Lions ($8,000); Cooper Kupp, Rams at Lions ($7,500); Brandin Cooks, Cowboys vs. Packers ($6,500)
We’re sticking with Kupp and also adding the modestly-priced Nacua for the super-stack with Stafford. If the Rams go off through the air this Sunday, we’re almost assuring ourselves prize money. Cooks is a strong WR3 at just $6,500, as Dak Prescott often looks his way to move the chains or score a touchdown. If the Packers sell out to double CeeDee Lamb, the speedy Cooks could burn them in a major way like he so often does in big games.
TE Jake Ferguson, Cowboys vs. Packers ($6,200)
Like we said earlier, touchdowns are important on FanDuel. Ferguson scored five TDs on the season, and Green Bay ceded seven TDs to tight ends on the campaign, tied for third-most in the NFL. The upside is there!
FLEX Leonard Fournette, Bills vs. Steelers ($4,800)
Playoff Lenny cracked our lineup! The Steelers surrendered the fifth-most FD points to running backs this season, and Lenny should have plenty of short-yardage and goal-line opportunities in what could be an ugly weather game against an ugly, T.J. Watt-less Pittsburgh D. Let’s do this!
DST Detroit Lions vs. Rams ($4,000)
Much like on DK, the Lions were the best of the lower-priced D/ST options. Spending up on the Cowboys or Bills won’t net you enough points over the Lions to justify the move. You’re better off saving the money and maximizing your investments at other roster spots, where a few hundred bucks could easily be a week-altering difference.
Wild Card Sunday SuperDraft Picks: DFS lineup advice, sleepers
As we have every week, we’re also listing our favorite DFS plays on SuperDraft.
For those unfamiliar, SuperDraft’s DFS scoring involves point multipliers as opposed to traditional salary-capped or tiered contests. A winning lineup will likely feature a strong mix of stud fantasy contributors with 1x-1.6x boosts, as well as matchup-based sleepers with larger multipliers. Each player is assigned a scoring multiplier based on their value as determined by SuperDraft. Users can roster any player in their lineup with no restrictions.
Here are the most notable scoring rules for SuperDraft NFL contests: Half-point PPR, four-point passing TDs, and two-point bonuses for 100 rushing yards, 100 receiving yards, and 300 passing yards. SuperDraft lineups feature no D/ST position.
Pos. | Player | Game | Boost |
QB | Jared Goff | Lions vs. Rams | 1.25x |
RB | Tony Pollard | Cowboys vs. Packers | 1.15x |
RB | David Montgomery | Lions vs. Rams | 1.15x |
WR | Puka Nacua | Rams at Lions | 1.2x |
WR | Cooper Kupp | Rams at Lions | 1.15x |
WR | Brandin Cooks | Cowboys vs. Packers | 1.45x |
TE | Dawson Knox | Bills vs. Steelers | 1.45x |
FLEX | Leonard Fournette | Bills vs. Steelers | $4,800 |
MORE SUPERDRAFT DFS: How to play SuperDraft
We employed a fairly similar approach with our SuperDraft DFS lineup, keeping many of the skill players we drafted to our DK and FD squads. We couldn’t resist Cooks and Knox at 1.45x with their touchdown upsides. We have plenty of lineup variance in shallow contests since we avoided the bigger-name QBs as well as CeeDee Lamb and Amon-Ra St. Brown. We have a good balance of high-upside studs and big-boost sleepers, exactly what you should try to attain when putting together a SuperDraft lineup.